Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.000151 0.000167 0.000184 0.000204 0.000226 0.000251 0.000279
2025-05-18 0.000119 0.000142 0.000168 0.000202 0.000242 0.000291 0.000353
2025-05-25 0.000100 0.000126 0.000158 0.000200 0.000256 0.000327 0.000425
2025-06-01 0.000087 0.000114 0.000149 0.000198 0.000265 0.000357 0.000492
2025-06-08 0.000076 0.000102 0.000138 0.000191 0.000267 0.000375 0.000544
2025-06-15 0.000069 0.000097 0.000135 0.000193 0.000281 0.000412 0.000626
2025-06-22 0.000065 0.000093 0.000133 0.000197 0.000297 0.000453 0.000720
2025-06-29 0.000059 0.000086 0.000127 0.000193 0.000300 0.000473 0.000784
2025-07-06 0.000052 0.000079 0.000118 0.000185 0.000296 0.000480 0.000824
2025-07-13 0.000049 0.000075 0.000116 0.000185 0.000306 0.000512 0.000913
2025-07-20 0.000047 0.000073 0.000115 0.000188 0.000319 0.000552 0.001021
2025-07-27 0.000043 0.000069 0.000111 0.000186 0.000323 0.000575 0.001101
2025-08-03 0.000041 0.000067 0.000109 0.000187 0.000335 0.000615 0.001222
2025-08-10 0.000038 0.000063 0.000106 0.000186 0.000341 0.000646 0.001335
2025-08-17 0.000036 0.000060 0.000103 0.000185 0.000348 0.000680 0.001458
2025-08-24 0.000033 0.000057 0.000099 0.000182 0.000353 0.000708 0.001574
2025-08-31 0.000031 0.000053 0.000094 0.000176 0.000348 0.000717 0.001645
2025-09-07 0.000029 0.000052 0.000093 0.000178 0.000361 0.000766 0.001825
2025-09-14 0.000028 0.000051 0.000093 0.000182 0.000378 0.000827 0.002046
2025-09-21 0.000027 0.000048 0.000090 0.000178 0.000378 0.000847 0.002164
2025-09-28 0.000025 0.000045 0.000084 0.000171 0.000369 0.000843 0.002215
2025-10-05 0.000024 0.000044 0.000083 0.000171 0.000379 0.000889 0.002416
2025-10-12 0.000023 0.000043 0.000083 0.000174 0.000393 0.000948 0.002672